Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Yokkaichi (Japan), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 November 2024, Tuesday


	Elias Ymer		Alexey Zakharov

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.71	2.02	Watch
	1.77	2.08
	1.73	2.03	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2.03	Watch
	1.71	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.5)	2.05 ↓ (2.47)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elias Ymer
54.5%

Alexey Zakharov
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.3%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elias Ymer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elias Ymer's form might have worsened.

Alexey Zakharov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexey Zakharov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elias Ymer, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexey Zakharov than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexey Zakharov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Elias Ymer - Alexey Zakharov Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Ymer will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Zakharov will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ymer: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ymer is ranked ATP: 320. Zakharov is ranked ATP: 311.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Zakharov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ymer will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elias Ymer
ATP Challenger
21.11.24	James McCabe - Elias Ymer	2:1 ✺
18.11.24	Elias Ymer - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:1 ✺
12.11.24	Bu Yunchaokete - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
10.11.24	Elias Ymer - Masamichi Imamura	2:0 ✺
10.11.24	Elias Ymer - Hikaru Shiraishi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLWW
- Alexey Zakharov
ATP Challenger
22.11.24	Alexey Zakharov - Constant Lestienne	0:2 ✺
21.11.24	Tung-Lin Wu - Alexey Zakharov	1:2 ✺
18.11.24	Alexey Zakharov - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
09.11.24	Alexey Zakharov - Kaichi Uchida	0:2 ✺
02.11.24	Alexey Zakharov - Liam Broady	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWLL

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