Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Yokohama (Japan), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 November 2024, Monday


	Alexey Zakharov		Rio Noguchi

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.85	1.8	Watch
	1.93	1.9
	1.92	1.82
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.8	1.93	Watch
	1.85	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.66)	1.85 ↓ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexey Zakharov
49.6%

Rio Noguchi
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

45.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexey Zakharov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexey Zakharov's form might have worsened.

Rio Noguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rio Noguchi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexey Zakharov than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Alexey Zakharov - Rio Noguchi Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Zakharov will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Noguchi will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Noguchi: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Zakharov is ranked ATP: 312. Noguchi is ranked ATP: 286.

Two players are in a poor body shape now.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Zakharov won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexey Zakharov
ATP Challenger
09.11.24	Alexey Zakharov - Kaichi Uchida	0:2 ✺
02.11.24	Alexey Zakharov - Liam Broady	0:2 ✺
10.10.24	Alexey Zakharov - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
08.10.24	Alexey Zakharov - Micah Braswell	2:0 ✺
01.10.24	Goncalo Oliveira - Alexey Zakharov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLWL
- Rio Noguchi
ATP Challenger
10.11.24	Rio Noguchi - Kasidit Samrej	1:2 ✺
28.10.24	Rio Noguchi - Tung-Lin Wu	0:2 ✺
22.10.24	Rio Noguchi - Benoit Paire	0:2 ✺
16.10.24	Mackenzie McDonald - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
14.10.24	Yusuke Takahashi - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
25.02.24	Alexey Zakharov - Rio Noguchi	2:0

Alexey Zakharov - Rio Noguchi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide