Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Taipei 2 (Taiwan), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 October 2024, Tuesday


	Rio Noguchi		Benoit Paire

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.56	2.27	Watch
	1.57	2.45
	1.59	2.28	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.59	2.27	Watch
	1.56	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.56)	2.3 (2.3)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Noguchi
59.3%

Benoit Paire
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.6%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Noguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Benoit Paire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rio Noguchi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benoit Paire than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Benoit Paire, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Rio Noguchi - Benoit Paire Predictions

Users Predictions: Rio Noguchi will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Noguchi is ranked ATP: 260. Paire is ranked ATP: 282.

Noguchi is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Paire has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Paire could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Noguchi
ATP Challenger
16.10.24	Mackenzie McDonald - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
14.10.24	Yusuke Takahashi - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.10.24	Rio Noguchi - Blake Ellis	2:1 ✺
04.10.24	Rio Noguchi - Edward Winter	2:0 ✺
03.10.24	Rio Noguchi - Alexander Klintcharov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWWW
- Benoit Paire
ATP Challenger
15.10.24	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Benoit Paire	2:0 ✺
08.10.24	Benoit Paire - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
30.09.24	Jules Marie - Benoit Paire	2:1 ✺
11.09.24	Benoit Paire - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
27.08.24	Remy Bertola - Benoit Paire	Paire B. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLL?

Rio Noguchi - Benoit Paire: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide