Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Miyazaki, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 31 March 2026, Tuesday


	Rio Noguchi		Tung-Lin Wu

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.9	1.8	Watch
	1.87	1.97
	1.86	1.84	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.88	1.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.53)	1.85 ↓ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Noguchi
49.8%

Tung-Lin Wu
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Noguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rio Noguchi's form might have worsened.

Tung-Lin Wu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tung-Lin Wu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tung-Lin Wu than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Rio Noguchi - Tung Lin Wu Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Noguchi will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Wu will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Noguchi is ranked ATP: 245. Wu is ranked ATP: 353.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Noguchi won 3.

Noguchi has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Wu has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Wu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Noguchi will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Noguchi won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Noguchi
ATP Challenger
28.03.26	Rio Noguchi - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:1 ✺
27.03.26	Rio Noguchi - Harry Wendelken	2:1 ✺
26.03.26	Liam Broady - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
26.03.26	Li Tu - Rio Noguchi	1:2 ✺
24.03.26	Tung-Lin Wu - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWWWW
- Tung-Lin Wu
ATP Challenger
24.03.26	Tung-Lin Wu - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
03.03.26	Tung-Lin Wu - Imanol Lopez Morillo	2:0 ✺
02.03.26	Tung-Lin Wu - Sergey Betov	2:0 ✺
26.02.26	Edas Butvilas - Tung-Lin Wu	Wu Tung-Lin retired ✺
24.02.26	Tung-Lin Wu - Alexandr Binda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWW?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
24.03.26	Tung-Lin Wu - Rio Noguchi	0:2
06.01.26	Tung-Lin Wu - Rio Noguchi	1:2
28.10.24	Rio Noguchi - Tung-Lin Wu	0:2
ATP Tokyo
13.10.23	Rio Noguchi - Tung-Lin Wu	2:1
ATP Challenger
17.07.23	Rio Noguchi - Tung-Lin Wu	0:2
07.11.22	Tung-Lin Wu - Rio Noguchi	2:0

Rio Noguchi - Tung-Lin Wu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide