Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Manama (Bahrain), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 February 2025, Friday


	Alexis Galarneau		Andrea Vavassori

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
			Watch
	1.75	1.95	Watch
	1.9	1.97
	1.88	1.89	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.83	1.89	Watch
	1.75	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.91)	1.94 ↑ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexis Galarneau
51.8%

Andrea Vavassori
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexis Galarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Andrea Vavassori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexis Galarneau than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Vavassori than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Alexis Galarneau - Andrea Vavassori Predictions

Users Predictions: Alexis Galarneau will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 and 3).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Belleville won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Belleville won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 55:65 (average 2.8:3.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Belleville won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 31:27 (average 3.1:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexis Galarneau
ATP Challenger
12.02.25	Ilia Simakin - Alexis Galarneau	1:2 ✺
11.02.25	Alexis Galarneau - Denis Yevseyev	2:1 ✺
06.02.25	Kyrian Jacquet - Alexis Galarneau	2:0 ✺
04.02.25	Egor Agafonov - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
02.02.25	Alexis Galarneau - Marton Fucsovics	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWL
- Andrea Vavassori
ATP Challenger
12.02.25	Andrea Vavassori - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:1 ✺
11.02.25	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Andrea Vavassori	1:2 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
06.02.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Andrea Vavassori	2:0 ✺
05.02.25	Andrea Vavassori - Felix Aliassime-Auger	Auger-Aliassime F. retired ✺
02.02.25	Andrea Vavassori - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWL?W

Alexis Galarneau - Andrea Vavassori: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide