Match Info

Date: 12 October 2022, Wednesday


	Alexis Galarneau		Evan Zhu

	1	2
	1.28	3.5	Watch
	1.28	3.4
	1.3	3.45
	1.26	3.4
	1.28	3.79
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.29	3.46	Watch
	1.26	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.4)	3.48 ↑ (2.68)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexis Galarneau
73.1%

Evan Zhu
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.7%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexis Galarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexis Galarneau's performance.

Evan Zhu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Evan Zhu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexis Galarneau than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexis Galarneau that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Evan Zhu than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Evan Zhu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alexis Galarneau - Evan Zhu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Galarneau is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Zhu is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Galarneau could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Galarneau is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Galarneau won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexis Galarneau
ATP Challenger
11.10.22	Mitchell Krueger - Alexis Galarneau	1:2 ✺
08.10.22	Zachary Svajda - Alexis Galarneau	2:0 ✺
07.10.22	Paul Jubb - Alexis Galarneau	1:2 ✺
06.10.22	Alexis Galarneau - Stefan Kozlov	2:0 ✺
04.10.22	Sebastian Fanselow - Alexis Galarneau	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLWWW
- Evan Zhu
ATP Challenger
10.10.22	Evan Zhu - Benjamin Lock	2:0 ✺
03.10.22	Evan Zhu - Valentin Vacherot	1:2 ✺
27.09.22	Evan Zhu - Patrick Kypson	0:2 ✺
27.09.22	Evan Zhu - Stefan Kozlov	Canceled ✺
19.09.22	Benjamin Lock - Evan Zhu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLL?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
30.07.22	Alexis Galarneau - Evan Zhu	2:0

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