Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: TIBURON (USA), HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 7 October 2023, Saturday


	Zachary Svajda		Alexis Galarneau

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.48	2.45
	1.45	2.6	Watch
	1.5	2.72
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.47	2.59	Watch
	1.49	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.83)	2.49 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zachary Svajda
62.4%

Alexis Galarneau
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zachary Svajda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zachary Svajda's performance.

Alexis Galarneau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexis Galarneau might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zachary Svajda than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zachary Svajda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexis Galarneau than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexis Galarneau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Zachary Svajda - Alexis Galarneau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Svajda is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Galarneau is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Svajda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Svajda will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Svajda won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zachary Svajda
ATP Challenger
06.10.23	Nishesh Basavareddy - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
04.10.23	Steve Johnson - Zachary Svajda	1:2 ✺
02.10.23	Christian Harrison - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
21.09.23	Christian Harrison - Zachary Svajda	2:0 ✺
19.09.23	Guido Andreozzi - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWLW
- Alexis Galarneau
ATP Challenger
06.10.23	Alexis Galarneau - Alexander Ritschard	2:1 ✺
04.10.23	Alexis Galarneau - Aziz Dougaz	2:1 ✺
02.10.23	Alexis Galarneau - Patrick Kypson	2:0 ✺
26.09.23	Alexis Galarneau - Ethan Quinn	0:2 ✺
24.09.23	Alexis Galarneau - Denis Kudla	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.10.22	Zachary Svajda - Alexis Galarneau	2:0

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