Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 21 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)


	Alexis Galarneau		Federico Cina

	1	2
	3.75	1.25
	3.6	1.26
	3.6	1.25
	3.91	1.27
	3.61	1.27	Watch
	3.75	1.25
	3.71	1.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.7 ↑ (2.59)	1.26 ↓ (1.46)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexis Galarneau
25.4%

Federico Cina
74.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

64%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

61.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexis Galarneau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexis Galarneau's form might have worsened.

Federico Cina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Federico Cina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexis Galarneau than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexis Galarneau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Cina than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Federico Cina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Alexis Galarneau - Federico Cina Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Galarneau will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Cina will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cina: 50.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 20 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Galarneau is ranked ATP: 194. Cina is ranked ATP: 216.

In recent matches, Galarneau has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cina is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Galarneau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cina is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Galarneau won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexis Galarneau
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.26	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Alexis Galarneau	1:2 ✺
18.05.26	Alex Barrena - Alexis Galarneau	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.05.26	Jie Cui - Alexis Galarneau	2:0 ✺
01.05.26	Adam Walton - Alexis Galarneau	2:1 ✺
30.04.26	Liam Broady - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWLLW
- Federico Cina
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.26	Federico Cina - Bernard Tomic	2:0 ✺
18.05.26	Federico Cina - Yosuke Watanuki	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.05.26	Federico Cina - Inaki Montes De La Torre	0:2 ✺
13.05.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Federico Cina	0:2 ✺
11.05.26	Maxim Mrva - Federico Cina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLWW

Alexis Galarneau - Federico Cina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide