Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open - Qualification, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 May 2026, Monday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)


	Alex Barrena		Alexis Galarneau

	1	2
	1.53	2.38
	1.55	2.31
	1.65	2.33
	1.59	2.29	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.61	2.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.53)	2.32 ↓ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Barrena
59.4%

Alexis Galarneau
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Barrena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Alexis Galarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Barrena than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexis Galarneau than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Alex Barrena - Alexis Galarneau Predictions

Users Predictions: Alex Barrena will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Barrena is ranked ATP: 189. Galarneau is ranked ATP: 192.

Barrena is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Galarneau has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Galarneau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Barrena could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Barrena
ATP Challenger
12.05.26	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Alex Barrena	Barrena A. Retired ✺
05.05.26	Alex Barrena - August Holmgren	0:2 ✺
28.04.26	Mika Brunold - Alex Barrena	2:1 ✺
20.04.26	Alex Barrena - Gianluca Cadenasso	1:2 ✺
26.03.26	Alex Barrena - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 ?LLLW
- Alexis Galarneau
ATP Challenger
04.05.26	Jie Cui - Alexis Galarneau	2:0 ✺
01.05.26	Adam Walton - Alexis Galarneau	2:1 ✺
30.04.26	Liam Broady - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
27.04.26	Alexis Galarneau - Dane Sweeny	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Alexis Galarneau - August Holmgren	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLWWL

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