Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jiujiang, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday


	Adam Walton		Alexis Galarneau

	1	2
	1.6	2.2
	1.57	2.48
	1.56	2.31	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.55	2.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 (1.57)	2.31 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adam Walton
59.5%

Alexis Galarneau
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adam Walton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Alexis Galarneau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adam Walton than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexis Galarneau than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Adam Walton - Alexis Galarneau Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Walton will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Galarneau will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Walton is ranked ATP: 117. Galarneau is ranked ATP: 201.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Galarneau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Walton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Walton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Adam Walton - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 58.9%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Alexis Galarneau - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.1%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adam Walton
ATP Challenger
30.04.26	Adam Walton - Tung-Lin Wu	2:1 ✺
29.04.26	Adam Walton - Jie Cui	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
25.04.26	Karen Khachanov - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	Martin Landaluce - Adam Walton	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.04.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWLWL
- Alexis Galarneau
ATP Challenger
30.04.26	Liam Broady - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
27.04.26	Alexis Galarneau - Dane Sweeny	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Alexis Galarneau - August Holmgren	0:2 ✺
20.04.26	Rio Noguchi - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
16.04.26	August Holmgren - Alexis Galarneau	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
19.04.24	Alexis Galarneau - Adam Walton	0:2
02.04.24	Alexis Galarneau - Adam Walton	2:0
02.06.23	Alexis Galarneau - Adam Walton	0:2

Adam Walton - Alexis Galarneau: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide