Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tunis, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday


	Joel Schwaerzler		Federico Cina

	1	2
			Watch
	1.66	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2.25
	1.65	2.11	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.67	2.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 (1.67)	2.13 ↑ (2.07)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joel Schwaerzler
56%

Federico Cina
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joel Schwaerzler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Federico Cina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Cina than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Joel Schwaerzler - Federico Cina Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Schwaerzler will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Cina will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 172. Cina is ranked ATP: 225.

In recent matches, Schwaerzler has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cina is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Cina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Joel Schwaerzler - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.35%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joel Schwaerzler
ATP Challenger
12.05.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Franco Agamenone	2:1 ✺
28.04.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Jan Choinski	1:2 ✺
17.04.26	Valentin Royer - Joel Schwaerzler	2:1 ✺
15.04.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Chun Hsin Tseng	2:0 ✺
13.04.26	Gastao Elias - Joel Schwaerzler	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLWW
- Federico Cina
ATP Challenger
11.05.26	Maxim Mrva - Federico Cina	1:2 ✺
ATP Roma
07.05.26	Federico Cina - Alexander Blockx	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.04.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Federico Cina	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
22.04.26	Elmer Moller - Federico Cina	2:0 ✺
22.04.26	Alex Michelsen - Federico Cina	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLLL?

Joel Schwaerzler - Federico Cina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide