Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cary, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 July 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Cary 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	20:00	Veikkaus TV


	Alexis Galarneau		Patrick Kypson

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.7	1.4	Watch
	2.86	1.46
			Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.77	1.41	Watch
	2.7	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.73)	1.41 ↑ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexis Galarneau
33.9%

Patrick Kypson
66.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.8%

66.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

70.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexis Galarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Patrick Kypson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexis Galarneau than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patrick Kypson than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Alexis Galarneau - Patrick Kypson Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kypson (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Patrick Kypson will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Galarneau is ranked ATP: 207. Kypson is ranked ATP: 240.

Galarneau has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kypson is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Galarneau may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kypson could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Kypson will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Galarneau won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Patrick Kypson - the odds 1.39 are the expected chance of winning is 66.24%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexis Galarneau
ATP Challenger
02.07.25	Alexis Galarneau - Andres Martin	2:1 ✺
01.07.25	Alexis Galarneau - Hoyoung Roh	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
25.06.25	Oliver Tarvet - Alexis Galarneau	2:0 ✺
23.06.25	Alexis Galarneau - Murphy Cassone	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.05.25	Alexis Galarneau - Naoki Nakagawa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLWL
- Patrick Kypson
ATP Challenger
02.07.25	Karue Sell - Patrick Kypson	0:2 ✺
30.06.25	Masamichi Imamura - Patrick Kypson	0:2 ✺
07.06.25	Yi Zhou - Patrick Kypson	Zhou Y. walkover ✺
06.06.25	Patrick Kypson - Trevor Svajda	2:0 ✺
05.06.25	Paul Jubb - Patrick Kypson	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WW?WW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.10.23	Alexis Galarneau - Patrick Kypson	2:0
13.06.23	Patrick Kypson - Alexis Galarneau	0:2
03.04.23	Alexis Galarneau - Patrick Kypson	0:2

Alexis Galarneau - Patrick Kypson