Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Little Rock, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 29 May 2025, Thursday


	Alexis Galarneau		Naoki Nakagawa

	1	2
	1.25	3.75	Watch
	1.2	4	Watch
	1.22	3.8	Watch
	1.2	4.55
	1.22	4.11	Watch
			Watch
	1.22	4.02	Watch
	1.22	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.34)	4 ↑ (3.06)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexis Galarneau
76.7%

Naoki Nakagawa
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.5%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexis Galarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexis Galarneau's performance.

Naoki Nakagawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Naoki Nakagawa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexis Galarneau than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naoki Nakagawa than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Alexis Galarneau - Naoki Nakagawa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Galarneau (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Galarneau is ranked ATP: 202. Nakagawa is ranked ATP: 349.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Nakagawa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Galarneau is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Galarneau won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexis Galarneau
ATP Challenger
28.05.25	Alexis Galarneau - Govind Nanda	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.25	Alexis Galarneau - Matteo Martineau	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.04.25	Tung-Lin Wu - Alexis Galarneau	Canceled ✺
17.04.25	Alexis Galarneau - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	1:2 ✺
15.04.25	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WL?LW
- Naoki Nakagawa
ATP Challenger
28.05.25	Naoki Nakagawa - Alexander Kotzen	2:0 ✺
20.04.25	Moerani Bouzige - Naoki Nakagawa	2:0 ✺
14.04.25	Sanhui Shin - Naoki Nakagawa	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Evgeny Karlovskiy - Naoki Nakagawa	1:2 ✺
ATP Houston
29.03.25	Adrian Mannarino - Naoki Nakagawa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
29.10.24	Naoki Nakagawa - Alexis Galarneau	0:2

Alexis Galarneau - Naoki Nakagawa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide