Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lyon 2 (France) - Qualification, hard (indoor) - Final

Date: 11 November 2024, Monday


	Alexis Gautier		Nicolas Alvarez Varona

	1	2
			Watch
	2.95	1.33
	2.95	1.35	Watch
	3.08	1.35
	2.99	1.36	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.99	1.36
	2.95	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.45)	1.36 ↓ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexis Gautier
31.5%

Nicolas Alvarez Varona
68.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

63.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexis Gautier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexis Gautier's form might have worsened.

Nicolas Alvarez Varona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nicolas Alvarez Varona's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexis Gautier than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Alexis Gautier - Nicolas Alvarez Varona Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Gautier will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Alvarez Varona will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gautier is ranked ATP: 513. Alvarez Varona is ranked ATP: 384.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Alvarez Varona will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexis Gautier
ATP Challenger
10.11.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Alexis Gautier	0:2 ✺
05.11.24	Andrea Pellegrino - Alexis Gautier	2:0 ✺
04.11.24	Alexis Gautier - Dennis Novak	2:0 ✺
03.11.24	Martin Klizan - Alexis Gautier	1:2 ✺
22.10.24	Alexis Gautier - Billy Harris	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WLWWL
- Nicolas Alvarez Varona
ATP Challenger
10.11.24	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0 ✺
06.11.24	Kei Nishikori - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:0 ✺
04.11.24	Jelle Sels - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	1:2 ✺
03.11.24	Otso Martikainen - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	0:2 ✺
14.10.24	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWWL

Alexis Gautier - Nicolas Alvarez Varona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide