Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lyon 2 (France) - Qualification, hard (indoor) - Semi-finals

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday


	Nicolas Alvarez Varona		Daniel Merida Aguilar

	1	2
			Watch
	1.57	2.2
	1.62	2.17
	1.58	2.33
	1.61	2.24	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.63	2.19	Watch
	1.62	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.79)	2.22 ↑ (1.93)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nicolas Alvarez Varona
58.1%

Daniel Merida Aguilar
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Alvarez Varona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nicolas Alvarez Varona's performance.

Daniel Merida Aguilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daniel Merida Aguilar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nicolas Alvarez Varona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daniel Merida Aguilar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Daniel Merida Aguilar Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Alvarez Varona will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Merida Aguilar will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Alvarez Varona is ranked ATP: 384. Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 313.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Alvarez Varona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Alvarez Varona won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Alvarez Varona
ATP Challenger
06.11.24	Kei Nishikori - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:0 ✺
04.11.24	Jelle Sels - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	1:2 ✺
03.11.24	Otso Martikainen - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	0:2 ✺
14.10.24	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:1 ✺
13.10.24	Leonardo Mazzucchelli - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWLW
- Daniel Merida Aguilar
ATP Challenger
16.10.24	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Andrea Vavassori	0:2 ✺
15.10.24	Enrico Dalla Valle - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
14.10.24	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:1 ✺
13.10.24	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Vladyslav Orlov	2:0 ✺
06.10.24	Christoph Negritu - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
14.10.24	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:1
ITF Tournaments
31.08.24	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0
ATP Challenger
06.04.22	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Daniel Merida Aguilar	1:2

Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Daniel Merida Aguilar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide