Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Drummondville (Canada), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 November 2024, Tuesday


	Alfredo Perez		Duarte Vale

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.76	1.96	Watch
	1.76	2.09
	1.75	2.01	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.74	2	Watch
	1.76	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.37)	1.99 ↑ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alfredo Perez
53.1%

Duarte Vale
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alfredo Perez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alfredo Perez's performance.

Duarte Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Duarte Vale might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfredo Perez than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alfredo Perez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duarte Vale than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Duarte Vale could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Alfredo Perez - Duarte Vale Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Perez will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Vale will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Perez: 73.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Perez is ranked ATP: 909. Vale is ranked ATP: 502.

Recent matches Perez is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vale is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Perez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Vale will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Vale to win the game is with odds 1.53.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alfredo Perez
ATP Challenger
11.11.24	Mats Rosenkranz - Alfredo Perez	1:2 ✺
10.11.24	Alfredo Perez - Dan Martin	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.11.24	Mats Rosenkranz - Alfredo Perez	Perez A. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
15.10.24	Alfredo Perez - Vasek Pospisil	1:2 ✺
14.10.24	Alfredo Perez - Patrick Brady	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WW?LW
- Duarte Vale
ITF Tournaments
19.10.24	Duarte Vale - Frederico Ferreira Silva	1:2 ✺
18.10.24	Duarte Vale - Pablo Masjuan Ginel	2:0 ✺
16.10.24	Duarte Vale - Goncalo Marques	2:0 ✺
12.10.24	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Duarte Vale	1:2 ✺
10.10.24	Duarte Vale - Alberto Barroso Campos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWWW

Alfredo Perez - Duarte Vale: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide