Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Barranquilla, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 August 2025, Monday


	Alfredo Perez		Dan Martin

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.35	3.29
	1.39	2.84	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.57)	2.65 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alfredo Perez
64.3%

Dan Martin
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alfredo Perez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alfredo Perez's performance.

Dan Martin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dan Martin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfredo Perez than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dan Martin than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Alfredo Perez - Dan Martin Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Perez will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Martin will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Perez is ranked ATP: 375. Martin is ranked ATP: 452.

Perez has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Martin is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Martin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Perez is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Perez won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alfredo Perez
ATP Challenger
04.08.25	Naoki Nakagawa - Alfredo Perez	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
19.07.25	Alfredo Perez - Andrea Vavassori	Vavassori A. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
16.07.25	Alfredo Perez - Liam Draxl	1:2 ✺
14.07.25	Alfredo Perez - Hiroki Moriya	2:1 ✺
13.07.25	Alfredo Perez - Tsung-Hao Huang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 L?LWW
- Dan Martin
ATP Challenger
03.08.25	Spencer Johnson - Dan Martin	2:0 ✺
ATP Toronto
28.07.25	Dan Martin - Jaume Munar	0:2 ✺
27.07.25	Taro Daniel - Dan Martin	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.07.25	Dan Martin - Hiroki Moriya	1:2 ✺
07.07.25	Dan Martin - Aidan Mayo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
31.01.25	Dan Martin - Alfredo Perez	0:2
ATP Challenger
10.11.24	Alfredo Perez - Dan Martin	2:1

Alfredo Perez - Dan Martin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide