Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: GUADALAJARA (MEXICO), HARD - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 17 September 2023, Sunday


	Aliaksandra Sasnovich		Arantxa Rus

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.65	2.25
	1.65	2.23
	1.67	2.33
	1.67	2.2
	1.61	2.32	Watch
	1.63	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.91)	2.27 ↑ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aliaksandra Sasnovich
58%

Arantxa Rus
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aliaksandra Sasnovich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aliaksandra Sasnovich's performance.

Arantxa Rus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arantxa Rus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aliaksandra Sasnovich than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aliaksandra Sasnovich that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arantxa Rus than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arantxa Rus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.7%	0%	6.2%

Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Arantxa Rus Predictions

Users Predictions: Aliaksandra Sasnovich will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sasnovich is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Rus is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rus could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Sasnovich will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sasnovich won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aliaksandra Sasnovich
WTA San Diego
13.09.23	Emma Navarro - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	2:0 ✺
11.09.23	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Belinda Bencic	2:1 ✺
10.09.23	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Varvara Lepchenko	2:0 ✺
09.09.23	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Eryn Cayetano	2:0 ✺
WTA US Open
28.08.23	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Magda Linette	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWWWL
- Arantxa Rus
WTA US Open
29.08.23	Arantxa Rus - Madison Keys	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.08.23	Arantxa Rus - Kateryna Baindl	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.08.23	Arantxa Rus - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	0:2 ✺
11.08.23	Arantxa Rus - Polona Hercog	2:1 ✺
10.08.23	Arantxa Rus - Nuria Brancaccio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
08.02.20	Arantxa Rus - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	1:2

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