Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Tolentino, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday


	Arantxa Rus		Nuria Brancaccio

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.17	1.74
	1.99	1.76	Watch
	2.02	1.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.66)	1.74 ↓ (2.03)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arantxa Rus
46%

Nuria Brancaccio
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arantxa Rus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arantxa Rus's form might have worsened.

Nuria Brancaccio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nuria Brancaccio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arantxa Rus than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arantxa Rus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuria Brancaccio than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nuria Brancaccio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Arantxa Rus - Nuria Brancaccio Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Rus will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Brancaccio will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rus is ranked WTA: 136. Brancaccio is ranked WTA: 188.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rus won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arantxa Rus
ATP Challenger
19.09.25	Ekaterine Gorgodze - Arantxa Rus	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Tatiana Pieri - Arantxa Rus	1:2 ✺
16.09.25	Tara Wurth - Arantxa Rus	0:2 ✺
11.09.25	Tamara Korpatsch - Arantxa Rus	2:1 ✺
11.09.25	Aliona Bolsova Zadoinov - Arantxa Rus	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWLW
- Nuria Brancaccio
ATP Challenger
19.09.25	Nuria Brancaccio - Lola Radivojevic	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Nuria Brancaccio - Aurora Zantedeschi	2:0 ✺
15.09.25	Sara Bejlek - Nuria Brancaccio	1:2 ✺
11.09.25	Nuria Brancaccio - Mona Barthel	1:2 ✺
09.09.25	Nuria Brancaccio - Ekaterine Gorgodze	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
10.08.23	Arantxa Rus - Nuria Brancaccio	2:0

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