Match Info

Date: 24 March 2022, Thursday


	Aliaksandra Sasnovich		Darya Kasatkina

	1	2
	1.72	2.1	Watch
	1.78	2
	1.74	2.1	Watch
	1.76	1.99
	1.85	2.06
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.8	2.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.22)	2.04 ↑ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aliaksandra Sasnovich
53.5%

Darya Kasatkina
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

58.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aliaksandra Sasnovich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aliaksandra Sasnovich's performance.

Darya Kasatkina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Darya Kasatkina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aliaksandra Sasnovich than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aliaksandra Sasnovich that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Darya Kasatkina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
34.5%	0%	65.5%

Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Darya Kasatkina Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Sasnovich will win (votes: 10 - 34.5%). Kasatkina will win (votes: 19 - 65.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kasatkina: 48.2% – 82.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sasnovich won 2.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Kasatkina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Sasnovich won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aliaksandra Sasnovich
WTA Miami
23.03.22	Xin Yu Wang - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	0:2 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
12.03.22	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Petra Kvitova	1:2 ✺
10.03.22	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	Osorio Serrano M. C. retired ✺
WTA Doha
22.02.22	Ons Jabeur - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	2:1 ✺
20.02.22	Shuai Zhang - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WL?LW
- Darya Kasatkina
WTA Indian Wells
13.03.22	Darya Kasatkina - Angelique Kerber	0:2 ✺
11.03.22	Darya Kasatkina - Katie Volynets	2:1 ✺
WTA Doha
23.02.22	Darya Kasatkina - Iga Swiatek	0:2 ✺
22.02.22	Jaqueline Adina Cristian - Darya Kasatkina	Cristian J. A. retired ✺
21.02.22	Darya Kasatkina - Ajla Tomljanovic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWL?W

Latest Head to Head

WTA St Petersburg
18.03.21	Darya Kasatkina - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	2:1
WTA Doha
22.02.20	Darya Kasatkina - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	2:1
WTA Sydney
08.01.19	Darya Kasatkina - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	0:2
WTA US Open
30.08.18	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Darya Kasatkina	2:0
WTA Moscow
19.10.17	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Darya Kasatkina	0:2
WTA Cincinnati
14.08.17	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Darya Kasatkina	0:2
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
16.04.16	Darya Kasatkina - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	2:1

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