Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Vic, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 April 2025, Monday


	Aliaksandra Sasnovich		Emiliana Arango

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.48	2.45
	1.44	2.6	Watch
	1.49	2.67
	1.45	2.66	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.46	2.59	Watch
	1.44	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.83)	2.62 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aliaksandra Sasnovich
64.4%

Emiliana Arango
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aliaksandra Sasnovich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aliaksandra Sasnovich's performance.

Emiliana Arango has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Emiliana Arango might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aliaksandra Sasnovich than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aliaksandra Sasnovich that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emiliana Arango than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Emiliana Arango could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Emiliana Arango Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sasnovich is ranked WTA: 110. Arango is ranked WTA: 84.

Two players are playing changeable.

Sasnovich could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aliaksandra Sasnovich
WTA Madrid
23.04.25	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Ann Li	0:2 ✺
22.04.25	Tyra Caterina Grant - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	0:2 ✺
21.04.25	Mirjam Bjorklund - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	0:2 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
14.04.25	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
13.04.25	Erika Andreeva - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWLW
- Emiliana Arango
WTA Madrid
22.04.25	Emiliana Arango - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	0:2 ✺
WTA Bogota
01.04.25	Emiliana Arango - Lucrezia Stefanini	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
19.03.25	Emiliana Arango - Chloe Paquet	1:2 ✺
WTA Merida
02.03.25	Emma Navarro - Emiliana Arango	2:0 ✺
01.03.25	Emiliana Arango - Daria Saville	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 L?LLW

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