Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Merida (Mexico), hard - Semi-finals

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Merida (Mexico) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Czech Republic	02:50	CANAL+ Sport 2
France	02:50	beIN Sports 3, beIN Sports MAX 10
Germany	02:50	Sky Sport Tennis
Greece	03:50	Nova Sports 6
Poland	02:50	CANAL+ Sport 2
Portugal	01:50	DAZN 2
Ukraine	03:50	Setanta Sports Premium


	Emiliana Arango		Daria Saville

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.2	1.65	Watch
	2.21	1.74
	2.18	1.71	Watch
	2.2	1.67
	2.17	1.7	Watch
	2.2	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.27)	1.68 ↑ (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emiliana Arango
43.4%

Daria Saville
56.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.8%

58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

59.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emiliana Arango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Daria Saville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emiliana Arango than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daria Saville than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	0%	23.1%

Emiliana Arango - Daria Saville Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Arango will win (votes: 20 - 76.9%). Saville will win (votes: 6 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arango: 60.7% – 93.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Arango is ranked WTA: 133. Saville is ranked WTA: 121.

Arango is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Saville is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Our prediction for today's Saville to win the game is with odds 1.69.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emiliana Arango
WTA Merida
28.02.25	Emiliana Arango - Rebecca Sramkova	2:1 ✺
27.02.25	Emiliana Arango - Francesca Jones	Jones F. retired ✺
24.02.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Emiliana Arango	0:2 ✺
24.02.25	Donna Vekic - Emiliana Arango	Canceled ✺
23.02.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Emiliana Arango	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 W?W?W
- Daria Saville
WTA Merida
28.02.25	Daria Saville - Paula Badosa	Badosa P. retired ✺
26.02.25	Daria Saville - Anhelina Kalinina	2:1 ✺
25.02.25	Marta Kostyuk - Daria Saville	0:2 ✺
23.02.25	Daria Saville - Varvara Lepchenko	2:0 ✺
22.02.25	Daria Saville - Ellen Perez	2:0
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 ?WWWW

Emiliana Arango - Daria Saville

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Emiliana Arango - Daria Saville Predictions

Preview

Form

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