Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 30 September 2026, Wednesday


	Aliaksandra Sasnovich		Talia Gibson

	1	2
	2.00	1.80	Watch
	2.00	1.78
	2.05	1.77	Watch
	2	1.77	Watch
	1.99	1.73
	2.04	1.77	Watch
	2.06	1.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.25)	1.77 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aliaksandra Sasnovich
46.8%

Talia Gibson
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aliaksandra Sasnovich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aliaksandra Sasnovich's performance.

Talia Gibson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Talia Gibson might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aliaksandra Sasnovich than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aliaksandra Sasnovich that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talia Gibson than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Talia Gibson could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Talia Gibson Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sasnovich will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Gibson will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sasnovich: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sasnovich (votes: 1 - 50%). Gibson (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sasnovich is ranked WTA: 121., and Gibson is ranked WTA: 37..

Each of the two players is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Gibson could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Sasnovich has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Talia Gibson - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 58.44%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aliaksandra Sasnovich
WTA Beijing
29.09.26	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Varvara Lepchenko	2:0 ✺
28.09.26	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Junhan Zhang	2:0 ✺
WTA Singapore
23.09.26	Mirra Andreeva - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Darya Kasatkina - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
26.08.26	Vendula Valdmannova - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLWL
- Talia Gibson
WTA Singapore
27.09.26	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Talia Gibson	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Tatiana Prozorova - Talia Gibson	Gibson T. win ✺
25.09.26	Maria Sakkari - Talia Gibson	1:2 ✺
24.09.26	Talia Gibson - Viktoria Morvayova	2:0 ✺
23.09.26	Talia Gibson - Amanda Anisimova	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 L?WW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
11.05.26	Talia Gibson - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	0:2

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