Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Yinchuan, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 September 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Yinchuan 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Alibek Kachmazov		Chase Ferguson

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Alibek Kachmazov
78.3%

Chase Ferguson
21.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

77.7%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alibek Kachmazov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Chase Ferguson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Kachmazov is ranked ATP: 800., and Ferguson is ranked ATP: 604..

Kachmazov is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Ferguson is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Ferguson could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alibek Kachmazov
ITF Tournaments
23.09.26	Xirui Han - Alibek Kachmazov	0:2 ✺
20.09.26	Yunseong Chung - Alibek Kachmazov	0:2 ✺
18.09.26	Nikolai Barsukov - Alibek Kachmazov	0:2 ✺
18.09.26	Alibek Kachmazov - Robin Catry	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	Alibek Kachmazov - Qian Sun	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWWW
- Chase Ferguson
ITF Tournaments
22.09.26	Chase Ferguson - Nino Ehrenschneider	2:1 ✺
18.09.26	Yunseong Chung - Chase Ferguson	2:0 ✺
17.09.26	Sheng Tang - Chase Ferguson	0:2 ✺
17.09.26	Zhenxiong Dong - Chase Ferguson	1:2 ✺
15.09.26	Minghui Zhang - Chase Ferguson	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWWW

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alibek Kachmazov
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Alibek Kachmazov - Seong Chan Hong	✺

Alibek Kachmazov - Chase Ferguson