Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: ASTANA (KAZAKHSTAN), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 28 September 2023, Thursday


	Alibek Kachmazov		Corentin Moutet

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.15	1.67
	2.15	1.68
	2.2	1.69
	2.24	1.72
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.21	1.67	Watch
	2.16	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.59)	1.68 ↑ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alibek Kachmazov
43.4%

Corentin Moutet
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

64.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

64.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alibek Kachmazov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alibek Kachmazov's performance.

Corentin Moutet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Corentin Moutet might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alibek Kachmazov than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alibek Kachmazov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corentin Moutet than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Corentin Moutet could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Alibek Kachmazov - Corentin Moutet Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Kachmazov will win (votes: 21 - 87.5%). Moutet will win (votes: 3 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kachmazov: 74.3% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kachmazov is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Moutet is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kachmazov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Moutet will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alibek Kachmazov
ATP Astana
27.09.23	Alibek Kachmazov - Damir Dzumhur	2:0 ✺
26.09.23	Fabian Marozsan - Alibek Kachmazov	0:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
21.09.23	Christopher OConnell - Alibek Kachmazov	2:0 ✺
19.09.23	Li Tu - Alibek Kachmazov	0:2 ✺
18.09.23	Alexey Zakharov - Alibek Kachmazov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWLWW
- Corentin Moutet
ATP Chengdu
23.09.23	Corentin Moutet - Miomir Kecmanovic	0:2 ✺
20.09.23	Tao Mu - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.09.23	Maxime Cressy - Corentin Moutet	2:0 ✺
13.09.23	Eliakim Coulibaly - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
29.08.23	Andy Murray - Corentin Moutet	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLWL

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