Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: ASTANA (KAZAKHSTAN) - QUALIFICATION, HARD (INDOOR) - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 26 September 2023, Tuesday


	Fabian Marozsan		Alibek Kachmazov

	1	2
			Watch
	1.4	2.8	Watch
	1.42	2.8
	1.43	2.9
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.39	2.82	Watch
	1.39	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.31)	2.82 ↓ (3.21)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fabian Marozsan
66.7%

Alibek Kachmazov
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.9%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.2%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fabian Marozsan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Alibek Kachmazov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabian Marozsan than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fabian Marozsan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alibek Kachmazov than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alibek Kachmazov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Fabian Marozsan - Alibek Kachmazov Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Marozsan will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Kachmazov will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kachmazov: 35.9% – 97.5%.

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Preview

Marozsan is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Kachmazov is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Marozsan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Marozsan is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fabian Marozsan
Davis Cup World Group I
16.09.23	Fabian Marozsan - Cem Ilkel	Canceled ✺
15.09.23	Fabian Marozsan - Altug Celikbilek	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.23	Adrian Mannarino - Fabian Marozsan	3:1 ✺
28.08.23	Richard Gasquet - Fabian Marozsan	2:3 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.08.23	Fabian Marozsan - Dino Prizmic	Prizmic D. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 ?WLW?
- Alibek Kachmazov
ATP Chengdu
21.09.23	Christopher OConnell - Alibek Kachmazov	2:0 ✺
19.09.23	Li Tu - Alibek Kachmazov	0:2 ✺
18.09.23	Alexey Zakharov - Alibek Kachmazov	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.09.23	Evgeny Donskoy - Alibek Kachmazov	2:1 ✺
11.09.23	Alibek Kachmazov - Zhe Li	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWLW

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