Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Helsinki (Finland), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 November 2024, Monday


	Alibek Kachmazov		Emilio Nava

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.52	2.36	Watch
	1.57	2.46
	1.54	2.38	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.54	2.38	Watch
	1.52	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.67)	2.37 ↑ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alibek Kachmazov
60.6%

Emilio Nava
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alibek Kachmazov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Emilio Nava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alibek Kachmazov than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emilio Nava than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Alibek Kachmazov - Emilio Nava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kachmazov is ranked ATP: 186. Nava is ranked ATP: 204.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Kachmazov will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Emilio Nava - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.29%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alibek Kachmazov
ATP Challenger
30.10.24	Alibek Kachmazov - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
29.10.24	Billy Harris - Alibek Kachmazov	0:2 ✺
28.10.24	Thiago Monteiro - Alibek Kachmazov	0:2 ✺
27.10.24	Michael Vrbensky - Alibek Kachmazov	0:2 ✺
26.10.24	Benjamin Bonzi - Alibek Kachmazov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWWL
- Emilio Nava
ATP Challenger
31.10.24	Emilio Nava - Raphael Collignon	1:2 ✺
29.10.24	Damir Dzumhur - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
28.10.24	Valentin Royer - Emilio Nava	1:2 ✺
27.10.24	Petr Brunclik - Emilio Nava	1:2 ✺
21.10.24	Emilio Nava - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWWL

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