Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bratislava 2 (Slovakia), hard (indoor) - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 October 2024, Wednesday


	Alibek Kachmazov		Jacob Fearnley

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	3	1.34
	2.8	1.38	Watch
	3.18	1.37
	2.68	1.44	Watch
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.94	1.37	Watch
	2.8	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.48)	1.39 ↓ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alibek Kachmazov
32.5%

Jacob Fearnley
67.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

62.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

62%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alibek Kachmazov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Jacob Fearnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alibek Kachmazov than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alibek Kachmazov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jacob Fearnley, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alibek Kachmazov - Jacob Fearnley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kachmazov is ranked ATP: 186. Fearnley is ranked ATP: 98.

Kachmazov is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Fearnley is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fearnley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Fearnley is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alibek Kachmazov
ATP Challenger
29.10.24	Billy Harris - Alibek Kachmazov	0:2 ✺
28.10.24	Thiago Monteiro - Alibek Kachmazov	0:2 ✺
27.10.24	Michael Vrbensky - Alibek Kachmazov	0:2 ✺
26.10.24	Benjamin Bonzi - Alibek Kachmazov	2:1 ✺
25.10.24	Alibek Kachmazov - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWLW
- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Challenger
28.10.24	Lukas Pokorny - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
ATP Basel
20.10.24	Daniel Altmaier - Jacob Fearnley	2:1 ✺
19.10.24	Jacob Fearnley - Christopher OConnell	2:1 ✺
ATP Stockholm
16.10.24	Tallon Griekspoor - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
15.10.24	Corentin Moutet - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWLW

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