Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Wuxi (China), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 May 2024, Monday

Referee: Yan B. (Chn)


	Alibek Kachmazov		Luke Saville

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.4	2.7
	1.4	2.8	Watch
	1.43	2.9
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.4	2.84	Watch
	1.43	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.49)	2.73 ↑ (2.47)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alibek Kachmazov
65.8%

Luke Saville
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alibek Kachmazov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Luke Saville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alibek Kachmazov than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luke Saville than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Alibek Kachmazov - Luke Saville Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kachmazov is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Saville is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Saville could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kachmazov will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alibek Kachmazov
ATP Challenger
29.04.24	Alibek Kachmazov - Richard Berankis	0:2 ✺
26.04.24	Alibek Kachmazov - Lloyd Harris	1:2 ✺
24.04.24	Alibek Kachmazov - James McCabe	2:0 ✺
23.04.24	Bu Yunchaokete - Alibek Kachmazov	Canceled ✺
18.04.24	Tung-Lin Wu - Alibek Kachmazov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLW?L
- Luke Saville
ATP Challenger
28.04.24	Luke Saville - Blake Ellis	0:2 ✺
28.04.24	Luke Saville - James McCabe	Canceled ✺
23.04.24	Luke Saville - Antoine Escoffier	0:2 ✺
21.04.24	Luke Saville - Linang Xiao	Canceled ✺
16.04.24	Lloyd Harris - Luke Saville	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 L?L?L

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