Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: GUANGZHOU (CHINA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 11 September 2023, Monday


	Alibek Kachmazov		Zhe Li

	1	2
			Watch
	1.6	2.3
	1.63	2.34
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.56	2.31	Watch
	1.56	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.5)	2.29 ↓ (2.48)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alibek Kachmazov
58.9%

Zhe Li
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alibek Kachmazov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Zhe Li has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alibek Kachmazov than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zhe Li than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Alibek Kachmazov - Zhe Li Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Kachmazov will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Li will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Li: 45% – 100%.

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Kachmazov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alibek Kachmazov
ATP Challenger
03.08.23	Alibek Kachmazov - Joao Sousa	0:2 ✺
01.08.23	Kenny De Schepper - Alibek Kachmazov	0:2 ✺
24.07.23	Alibek Kachmazov - Inaki Montes De La Torre	0:2 ✺
19.07.23	Hugo Grenier - Alibek Kachmazov	2:0 ✺
18.07.23	Alibek Kachmazov - Benjamin Lock	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLLW
- Zhe Li
ITF Tournaments
06.09.23	Zhe Li - Egor Gerasimov	1:2 ✺
05.09.23	Zhe Li - Hong Kit Wong	2:0 ✺
30.08.23	Sanhui Shin - Zhe Li	2:1 ✺
29.08.23	Zhe Li - Zhao Zhao	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.08.23	Zhe Li - Jason Jung	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LWLWL

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