Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 San Gregorio, clay - Final

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Alice Tubello		Lisa Pigato

	1	2
			Watch
	2.55	1.45	Watch
	3.3	1.34
	2.9	1.35	Watch
	2.63	1.4
	2.94	1.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.56)	1.38 ↓ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alice Tubello
32.5%

Lisa Pigato
67.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

64.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

61.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alice Tubello has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Lisa Pigato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alice Tubello than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alice Tubello, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lisa Pigato than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lisa Pigato, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alice Tubello - Lisa Pigato Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tubello is ranked WTA: 425. Pigato is ranked WTA: 200.

Tubello has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pigato is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tubello may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Pigato might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Pigato will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alice Tubello
ITF Tournaments
21.03.26	Alessandra Mazzola - Alice Tubello	1:2 ✺
20.03.26	Vittoria Paganetti - Alice Tubello	Paganetti V. retired ✺
19.03.26	Viola Turini - Alice Tubello	1:2 ✺
11.03.26	Alice Tubello - Irene Burillo Escorihuela	1:2 ✺
09.03.26	Alice Tubello - Maddalena Giordano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 W?WLW
- Lisa Pigato
ITF Tournaments
21.03.26	Jennifer Ruggeri - Lisa Pigato	0:2 ✺
20.03.26	Yasmine Kabbaj - Lisa Pigato	0:2 ✺
20.03.26	Charo Esquiva Banuls - Lisa Pigato	0:2 ✺
19.03.26	Aurora Zantedeschi - Lisa Pigato	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.03.26	Teodora Kostovic - Lisa Pigato	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWL

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