Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Istanbul, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday


	Alice Tubello		Maria Timofeeva

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.35	1.57
	2.27	1.57	Watch
	2.4	1.65
	2.41	1.54	Watch
	2.3	1.62
	2.25	1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.23)	1.58 ↓ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alice Tubello
40.6%

Maria Timofeeva
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alice Tubello has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Maria Timofeeva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alice Tubello than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alice Tubello, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Timofeeva than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maria Timofeeva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Alice Tubello - Maria Timofeeva Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Timofeeva will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tubello is ranked WTA: 256. Timofeeva is ranked WTA: 136.

In recent matches, Tubello has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Timofeeva is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Timofeeva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Timofeeva might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Timofeeva will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tubello won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Maria Timofeeva - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 58.11%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alice Tubello
ATP Challenger
08.05.26	Alice Tubello - Polina Kudermetova	2:1 ✺
06.05.26	Alice Tubello - Elizara Yaneva	2:0 ✺
04.05.26	Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah - Alice Tubello	1:2 ✺
28.04.26	Lucie Nguyen Tan - Alice Tubello	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.04.26	Sada Nahimana - Alice Tubello	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWLL
- Maria Timofeeva
ATP Challenger
08.05.26	Maria Timofeeva - Francesca Jones	2:0 ✺
07.05.26	Maria Timofeeva - Adelina Lachinova	2:0 ✺
05.05.26	Maria Timofeeva - Noma Akugue Noha	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.04.26	Maria Timofeeva - Tessa Johanna Brockmann	0:2 ✺
26.04.26	Maria Timofeeva - Lisa Pigato	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Australian Open
06.01.25	Alice Tubello - Maria Timofeeva	1:2

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