Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Paris, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 14 May 2026, Thursday


	Alina Charaeva		Tamara Korpatsch

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.71	2.02	Watch
	1.83	2.07
	1.7	2.1	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.57	2.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (2.08)	2.09 ↑ (1.74)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alina Charaeva
55.1%

Tamara Korpatsch
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alina Charaeva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alina Charaeva's performance.

Tamara Korpatsch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tamara Korpatsch might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alina Charaeva than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alina Charaeva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tamara Korpatsch than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tamara Korpatsch could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Alina Charaeva - Tamara Korpatsch Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Charaeva will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Korpatsch will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Korpatsch: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Charaeva is ranked WTA: 125. Korpatsch is ranked WTA: 87.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Korpatsch may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Alina Charaeva - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 45.5%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alina Charaeva
ATP Challenger
12.05.26	Sara Bejlek - Alina Charaeva	0:2 ✺
11.05.26	Alina Charaeva - Alice Tubello	2:0 ✺
01.05.26	Alina Charaeva - Darya Kasatkina	1:2 ✺
30.04.26	Xin Yu Wang - Alina Charaeva	1:2 ✺
28.04.26	Alina Charaeva - Dalma Galfi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWLWW
- Tamara Korpatsch
ATP Challenger
12.05.26	Clara Burel - Tamara Korpatsch	1:2 ✺
11.05.26	Tamara Korpatsch - Ksenia Efremova	2:1 ✺
WTA Roma
06.05.26	Solana Sierra - Tamara Korpatsch	2:0 ✺
05.05.26	Mayar Sherif - Tamara Korpatsch	1:2 ✺
04.05.26	Beatrice Ricci - Tamara Korpatsch	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWW

Alina Charaeva - Tamara Korpatsch: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide