Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: La Bisbal D'Emporda, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday


	Xin Yu Wang		Alina Charaeva

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.75	2
	1.71	2.02	Watch
	1.81	2.02
	1.75	1.97	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.72	1.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.79)	2.01 ↑ (1.92)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xin Yu Wang
53.7%

Alina Charaeva
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xin Yu Wang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Alina Charaeva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xin Yu Wang than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Xin Yu Wang that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alina Charaeva than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alina Charaeva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Xin Yu Wang - Alina Charaeva Predictions

Users Predictions: Xin Yu Wang will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Wang is ranked WTA: 31. Charaeva is ranked WTA: 129.

Wang is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Charaeva has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Charaeva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xin Yu Wang
ATP Challenger
28.04.26	Xin Yu Wang - Kaitlin Quevedo	2:0 ✺
WTA Madrid
23.04.26	Xin Yu Wang - Laura Samsonova	1:2 ✺
WTA Rouen
16.04.26	Xin Yu Wang - Sorana Cirstea	Wang Xin. Retired ✺
14.04.26	Chloe Paquet - Xin Yu Wang	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Xin Yu Wang - Harmony Tan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WL?WW
- Alina Charaeva
ATP Challenger
28.04.26	Alina Charaeva - Dalma Galfi	2:0 ✺
WTA Madrid
22.04.26	Janice Tjen - Alina Charaeva	2:0 ✺
21.04.26	Nikola Bartunkova - Alina Charaeva	1:2 ✺
20.04.26	Alina Charaeva - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	2:0 ✺
WTA Rouen
14.04.26	Elisabaetta Cocciaretto - Alina Charaeva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WLWWL

Xin Yu Wang - Alina Charaeva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide