Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Paris - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 11 May 2026, Monday


	Alina Charaeva		Alice Tubello

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.56	2.48
	1.13	5.48	Watch
	1.53	2.38
	1.54	2.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.86)	2.97 ↑ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alina Charaeva
66.8%

Alice Tubello
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alina Charaeva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alina Charaeva's performance.

Alice Tubello has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alice Tubello might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alina Charaeva than the current prediction. (-19.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alina Charaeva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alice Tubello than the current prediction. (+19.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alice Tubello could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Alina Charaeva - Alice Tubello Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Charaeva will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Tubello will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3 Games - Charaeva (1.92) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Charaeva (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Charaeva is ranked WTA: 125. Tubello is ranked WTA: 256.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Tubello may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alina Charaeva
ATP Challenger
01.05.26	Alina Charaeva - Darya Kasatkina	1:2 ✺
30.04.26	Xin Yu Wang - Alina Charaeva	1:2 ✺
28.04.26	Alina Charaeva - Dalma Galfi	2:0 ✺
WTA Madrid
22.04.26	Janice Tjen - Alina Charaeva	2:0 ✺
21.04.26	Nikola Bartunkova - Alina Charaeva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWWLW
- Alice Tubello
ATP Challenger
09.05.26	Alice Tubello - Maria Timofeeva	1:2 ✺
08.05.26	Alice Tubello - Polina Kudermetova	2:1 ✺
06.05.26	Alice Tubello - Elizara Yaneva	2:0 ✺
04.05.26	Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah - Alice Tubello	1:2 ✺
28.04.26	Lucie Nguyen Tan - Alice Tubello	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWWL

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