Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: French Open - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 21 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)


	Alina Korneeva		Julia Riera

	1	2
	1.67	2.1
	1.65	2.15
	1.67	2.15
	1.74	2.24
	1.64	2.17	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.7	2.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.59)	2.15 ↓ (2.28)

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alina Korneeva
56.2%

Julia Riera
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alina Korneeva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Julia Riera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alina Korneeva than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Julia Riera than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	0%	73.3%

Alina Korneeva - Julia Riera Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Korneeva will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Riera will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Riera: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Riera (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Korneeva is ranked WTA: 120. Riera is ranked WTA: 180.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Korneeva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Korneeva won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alina Korneeva
WTA Roland Garros
20.05.26	Alina Korneeva - Jasmin Ortenzi	2:1 ✺
18.05.26	Alina Korneeva - Nao Hibino	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.05.26	Alina Korneeva - Katie Volynets	0:2 ✺
WTA Roma
06.05.26	Panna Udvardy - Alina Korneeva	2:0 ✺
05.05.26	Lilli Tagger - Alina Korneeva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLLW
- Julia Riera
WTA Roland Garros
20.05.26	Julia Riera - Robin Montgomery	2:1 ✺
19.05.26	Julia Riera - Laura Samsonova	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.05.26	Julia Riera - Kristina Liutova	1:2 ✺
09.05.26	Darja Vidmanova - Julia Riera	1:2 ✺
08.05.26	Leyre Romero Gormaz - Julia Riera	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWLWW

Alina Korneeva - Julia Riera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide