Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: French Open - Qualification, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)


	Julia Riera		Laura Samsonova

	1	2
	2.1	1.67
	2.13	1.68
	2.4	1.61
	1.74	2.04	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.3	1.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.83)	1.7 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Julia Riera
44.1%

Laura Samsonova
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Julia Riera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Julia Riera's form might have worsened.

Laura Samsonova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Laura Samsonova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Julia Riera than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Laura Samsonova than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Julia Riera - Laura Samsonova Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Riera will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Samsonova will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Riera is ranked WTA: 207. Samsonova is ranked WTA: 156.

Riera is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Samsonova has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Riera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Julia Riera - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Laura Samsonova - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Julia Riera
ITF Tournaments
10.05.26	Julia Riera - Kristina Liutova	1:2 ✺
09.05.26	Darja Vidmanova - Julia Riera	1:2 ✺
08.05.26	Leyre Romero Gormaz - Julia Riera	1:2 ✺
07.05.26	Hibah Shaikh - Julia Riera	1:2 ✺
06.05.26	Lia Karatancheva - Julia Riera	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWWW
- Laura Samsonova
WTA Madrid
25.04.26	Laura Samsonova - Anna Bondar	0:2 ✺
23.04.26	Xin Yu Wang - Laura Samsonova	1:2 ✺
21.04.26	Tatjana Maria - Laura Samsonova	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.04.26	Lisa Pigato - Laura Samsonova	2:1 ✺
07.04.26	Laura Samsonova - Elena Pridankina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWLW

Julia Riera - Laura Samsonova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide