Match Info

Date: 27 October 2020, Tuesday


	Aljaz Bedene		Daniel Evans

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.3	1.6
	2.25	1.65	Watch
	2.23	1.61
	2.3	1.68
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.31	1.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.59)	1.62 ↑ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aljaz Bedene
41.6%

Daniel Evans
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

63.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

66.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aljaz Bedene has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Daniel Evans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aljaz Bedene than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aljaz Bedene that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Evans than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daniel Evans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

Aljaz Bedene - Daniel Evans Predictions

Users Predictions: 55 users predict this event. Bedene will win (votes: 20 - 36.4%). Evans will win (votes: 35 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Evans: 50.9% – 76.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Bedene could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Bedene will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aljaz Bedene
ATP Vienna
25.10.20	Lorenzo Sonego - Aljaz Bedene	1:2 ✺
24.10.20	David Pichler - Aljaz Bedene	0:2 ✺
ATP Antwerp
21.10.20	Aljaz Bedene - Milos Raonic	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
03.10.20	Aljaz Bedene - Stefanos Tsitsipas	Bedene A. retired ✺
01.10.20	Nikola Milojevic - Aljaz Bedene	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWL?W
- Daniel Evans
ATP Antwerp
24.10.20	Daniel Evans - Ugo Humbert	1:2 ✺
23.10.20	Daniel Evans - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
21.10.20	Francis Tiafoe - Daniel Evans	0:2 ✺
20.10.20	Salvatore Caruso - Daniel Evans	1:2 ✺
ATP St Petersburg
12.10.20	Stanislas Wawrinka - Daniel Evans	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWWL

Aljaz Bedene - Daniel Evans: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide