Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: London, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 June 2025, Monday


	Francis Tiafoe		Daniel Evans

	1	2
	1.25	3.75	Watch
	1.26	3.75	Watch
			Watch
	1.27	4.13
			Watch
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.26	3.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.51)	3.91 ↑ (2.59)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francis Tiafoe
75.7%

Daniel Evans
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.3%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francis Tiafoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francis Tiafoe's performance.

Daniel Evans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daniel Evans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francis Tiafoe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Evans than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daniel Evans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Francis Tiafoe - Daniel Evans Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Tiafoe will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Evans will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 13. Evans is ranked ATP: 217.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tiafoe won 4.

Tiafoe is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Evans has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Evans may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Tiafoe is the team to beat.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Tiafoe won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.2:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Francis Tiafoe - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 63.17%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Roland Garros
03.06.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Francis Tiafoe	3:1 ✺
01.06.25	Francis Tiafoe - Daniel Altmaier	3:0 ✺
30.05.25	Francis Tiafoe - Sebastian Korda	3:0 ✺
28.05.25	Francis Tiafoe - Pablo Carreno-Busta	3:0 ✺
25.05.25	Francis Tiafoe - Roman Safiullin	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWWW
- Daniel Evans
ATP Hertogenbosch
12.06.25	Daniel Evans - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
11.06.25	Rinky Hijikata - Daniel Evans	1:2 ✺
09.06.25	Daniel Evans - Mees Rottgering	2:1 ✺
08.06.25	Adam Walton - Daniel Evans	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.06.25	Daniel Evans - Murphy Cassone	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Almaty
17.10.24	Francis Tiafoe - Daniel Evans	2:1
ATP Vienna
24.10.23	Francis Tiafoe - Daniel Evans	Evans D. retired
ATP Washington
04.08.23	Daniel Evans - Francis Tiafoe	2:0
ATP United Cup
04.01.23	Francis Tiafoe - Daniel Evans	2:1
ATP Stockholm
11.11.21	Daniel Evans - Francis Tiafoe	1:2
ATP Miami
26.03.21	Daniel Evans - Francis Tiafoe	1:2
ATP Antwerp
21.10.20	Francis Tiafoe - Daniel Evans	0:2

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