Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cattolica, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 June 2026, Thursday


	Alvaro Guillen Meza		Marco Cecchinato

	1	2
			Watch
	2.75	1.40
	2.85	1.37	Watch
	3.02	1.41
	2.72	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.40	Watch
	2.94	1.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.28)	1.39 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alvaro Guillen Meza
32.8%

Marco Cecchinato
67.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

59.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvaro Guillen Meza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alvaro Guillen Meza's form might have worsened.

Marco Cecchinato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marco Cecchinato's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvaro Guillen Meza than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alvaro Guillen Meza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco Cecchinato than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marco Cecchinato, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alvaro Guillen Meza - Marco Cecchinato Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Guillen Meza is ranked ATP: 266. Cecchinato is ranked ATP: 172.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Cecchinato may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Cecchinato could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guillen Meza won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Alvaro Guillen Meza - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.31%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Marco Cecchinato - the odds 1.54 are the expected chance of winning is 59.69%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alvaro Guillen Meza
ATP Challenger
09.06.26	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Ilia Simakin	2:1 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.26	Colton Smith - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.05.26	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Josip Simundza	Guillen Meza A. Retired ✺
04.05.26	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Clement Chidekh	0:2 ✺
10.04.26	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WL?LL
- Marco Cecchinato
ATP Challenger
09.06.26	Petr Nesterov - Marco Cecchinato	0:2 ✺
05.06.26	Marco Cecchinato - Timofey Skatov	0:2 ✺
03.06.26	Valentin Royer - Marco Cecchinato	Royer V. Retired ✺
01.06.26	Marco Cecchinato - Ilia Simakin	2:0 ✺
26.05.26	Marco Cecchinato - Yu Hsiou Hsu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WL?WL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
29.01.26	Marco Cecchinato - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:0

Alvaro Guillen Meza - Marco Cecchinato: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide