Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: PERUGIA (ITALY), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 15 June 2023, Thursday


	Alvaro Lopez San Martin		Fabian Marozsan

	1	2
	3.5	1.29	Watch
	3.4	1.28
	3.4	1.3
	3.98	1.26
	3.4	1.3
	3.65	1.25	Watch
	3.2	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↑ (2.7)	1.28 ↓ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alvaro Lopez San Martin
26.8%

Fabian Marozsan
73.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

65.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvaro Lopez San Martin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alvaro Lopez San Martin's form might have worsened.

Fabian Marozsan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fabian Marozsan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvaro Lopez San Martin than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alvaro Lopez San Martin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fabian Marozsan than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fabian Marozsan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Alvaro Lopez San Martin - Fabian Marozsan Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Lopez San Martin will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Marozsan will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marozsan: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Lopez San Martin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Marozsan is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lopez San Martin won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alvaro Lopez San Martin
ATP Challenger
13.06.23	Marco Trungelliti - Alvaro Lopez San Martin	1:2 ✺
12.06.23	Alvaro Lopez San Martin - Alexander Weis	1:2 ✺
11.06.23	Alvaro Lopez San Martin - Pietro Lavoratori	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.06.23	Alvaro Lopez San Martin - Martin Landaluce	1:2 ✺
09.06.23	Alvaro Lopez San Martin - Benjamin Winter Lopez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWLW
- Fabian Marozsan
ATP Challenger
13.06.23	Franco Agamenone - Fabian Marozsan	0:2 ✺
07.06.23	Rudolf Molleker - Fabian Marozsan	2:0 ✺
05.06.23	Hernan Casanova - Fabian Marozsan	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
24.05.23	Juncheng Shang - Fabian Marozsan	2:0 ✺
22.05.23	Li Tu - Fabian Marozsan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
28.03.23	Fabian Marozsan - Alvaro Lopez San Martin	2:1

Alvaro Lopez San Martin - Fabian Marozsan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide