Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Belgrade 2 (Serbia), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday


	Juncheng Shang		Fabian Marozsan

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.55	2.4
	1.53	2.46	Watch
	1.55	2.57
	1.55	2.51	Watch
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.55	2.47	Watch
	1.53	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.6)	2.47 ↑ (2.35)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juncheng Shang
61.5%

Fabian Marozsan
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juncheng Shang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Fabian Marozsan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juncheng Shang than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fabian Marozsan than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	0%	7.1%

Juncheng Shang - Fabian Marozsan Predictions

Users Predictions: Juncheng Shang will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Shang is ranked ATP: 51. Marozsan is ranked ATP: 57.

Recent matches Shang is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Marozsan has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Marozsan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Shang will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Shang won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0 (average 2:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Juncheng Shang - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 59.49%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juncheng Shang
ATP Paris
28.10.24	Juncheng Shang - Marcos Giron	0:2 ✺
27.10.24	Juncheng Shang - Zizou Bergs	2:1 ✺
26.10.24	Juncheng Shang - James Duckworth	2:1 ✺
ATP Basel
22.10.24	Denis Shapovalov - Juncheng Shang	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
05.10.24	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Juncheng Shang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWWLL
- Fabian Marozsan
ATP Paris
26.10.24	Fabio Fognini - Fabian Marozsan	2:0 ✺
ATP Vienna
23.10.24	Tomas Machac - Fabian Marozsan	2:0 ✺
ATP Almaty
14.10.24	Fabian Marozsan - Borna Coric	0:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
25.09.24	Yi Zhou - Fabian Marozsan	Canceled ✺
ATP Hangzhou
20.09.24	Rinky Hijikata - Fabian Marozsan	Hijikata R. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.8 LLL??

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
24.05.23	Juncheng Shang - Fabian Marozsan	2:0
ATP Australian Open
09.01.23	Fabian Marozsan - Juncheng Shang	0:2

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