Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Targu Mures - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday


	Amandine Monnot		Lucija Ciric Bagaric

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.67	2.10
	1.61	2.19	Watch
	1.69	2.06	Watch
	1.66	2.1	Watch
	1.61	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.35)	2.15 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amandine Monnot
56.8%

Lucija Ciric Bagaric
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.6%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amandine Monnot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Amandine Monnot's form might have worsened.

Lucija Ciric Bagaric has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lucija Ciric Bagaric's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amandine Monnot than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amandine Monnot, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucija Ciric Bagaric than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lucija Ciric Bagaric, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Amandine Monnot - Lucija Ciric Bagaric Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Monnot is ranked WTA: 310. Ciric Bagaric is ranked WTA: 390.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Monnot may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Monnot is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Monnot won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amandine Monnot
ITF Tournaments
21.07.26	Carlota Martinez Cirez - Amandine Monnot	2:1 ✺
14.07.26	Tahlia Kokkinis - Amandine Monnot	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.07.26	Amandine Monnot - Leolia Jeanjean	0:2 ✺
06.07.26	Amandine Monnot - Maria Sara Popa	2:0 ✺
05.07.26	Amandine Monnot - Jasmijn Gimbrere	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLWW
- Lucija Ciric Bagaric
ATP Challenger
18.07.26	Lucija Ciric Bagaric - Amarissa Kiara Toth	Toth A. K. Walkover ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.07.26	Federica Urgesi - Lucija Ciric Bagaric	2:0 ✺
25.06.26	Deborah Chiesa - Lucija Ciric Bagaric	2:1 ✺
25.06.26	Lucija Ciric Bagaric - Maria Toma	2:0 ✺
24.06.26	Matilde Paoletti - Lucija Ciric Bagaric	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 ?LLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
02.12.23	Lucija Ciric Bagaric - Amandine Monnot	2:1

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