Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Templeton, CA, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday


	Amelia Rajecki		Usue Maitane Arconada

	1	2
			Watch
	2.7	1.4	Watch
	2.86	1.38
	7.64	1.05	Watch
	2.77	1.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.99 ↑ (2.2)	1.31 ↓ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amelia Rajecki
24.7%

Usue Maitane Arconada
75.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amelia Rajecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Amelia Rajecki's form might have worsened.

Usue Maitane Arconada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Usue Maitane Arconada's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amelia Rajecki than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amelia Rajecki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Usue Maitane Arconada than the current prediction. (-15.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Usue Maitane Arconada, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Amelia Rajecki - Usue Maitane Arconada Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rajecki is ranked WTA: 397. Arconada is ranked WTA: 445.

Rajecki has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Arconada is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Rajecki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Arconada is considered a favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amelia Rajecki
ITF Tournaments
11.09.25	Amelia Rajecki - Katherine Sebov	0:2 ✺
10.09.25	Amelia Rajecki - Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen	2:1 ✺
27.08.25	Amelia Rajecki - Olga Helmi	0:2 ✺
14.08.25	Amelia Rajecki - Martyna Kubka	0:2 ✺
13.08.25	Amelia Rajecki - Alicia Dudeney	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLW
- Usue Maitane Arconada
WTA Cincinnati
06.08.25	Antonia Ruzic - Usue Maitane Arconada	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.07.25	Usue Maitane Arconada - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2 ✺
25.07.25	Robin Anderson - Usue Maitane Arconada	Anderson R. walkover ✺
24.07.25	Valeria Glozman - Usue Maitane Arconada	1:2 ✺
23.07.25	Salma Ewing - Usue Maitane Arconada	Ewing S. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LL?W?

Amelia Rajecki - Usue Maitane Arconada: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide