Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Lexington, KY, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 July 2025, Wednesday


	Usue Maitane Arconada		Varvara Lepchenko

	1	2
			Watch
	2.9	1.36
	2.92	1.37
	2.26	1.55	Watch
	2.85	1.38	Watch
	2.63	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.63)	1.42 ↓ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Usue Maitane Arconada
34.4%

Varvara Lepchenko
65.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

66.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Usue Maitane Arconada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Varvara Lepchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Usue Maitane Arconada than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Lepchenko than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

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Preview

Arconada is ranked WTA: 401. Lepchenko is ranked WTA: 126.

Arconada has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lepchenko's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Arconada may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Lepchenko is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Varvara Lepchenko - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 64.46%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Usue Maitane Arconada
ITF Tournaments
25.07.25	Robin Anderson - Usue Maitane Arconada	Anderson R. walkover ✺
24.07.25	Valeria Glozman - Usue Maitane Arconada	1:2 ✺
23.07.25	Salma Ewing - Usue Maitane Arconada	Ewing S. retired ✺
15.07.25	Darja Vidmanova - Usue Maitane Arconada	2:0 ✺
02.07.25	Usue Maitane Arconada - Yexin Ma	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 ?W?LL
- Varvara Lepchenko
WTA Washington
20.07.25	Kamilla Rakhimova - Varvara Lepchenko	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.07.25	Varvara Lepchenko - Petra Marcinko	0:2 ✺
16.07.25	Varvara Lepchenko - Alice Rame	2:0 ✺
14.07.25	Varvara Lepchenko - Georgia Pedone	2:1 ✺
09.07.25	Mayar Sherif - Varvara Lepchenko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWWL

Usue Maitane Arconada - Varvara Lepchenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide