Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Heraklion 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday


	Amit Vales		Lorenzo Angelini

	1	2
	2.99	1.4
	1.81	1.85	Watch
	3.1	1.3
	3.05	1.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (3.12)	1.47 ↑ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amit Vales
34.9%

Lorenzo Angelini
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

70.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

65.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amit Vales has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Amit Vales's performance.

Lorenzo Angelini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lorenzo Angelini might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amit Vales than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Angelini than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Amit Vales - Lorenzo Angelini Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Vales (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vales (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vales is ranked ATP: 847. Angelini is ranked ATP: 941.

In recent matches, Vales has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Angelini is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Vales may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Angelini is considered a favorite.

We predict that Angelini will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amit Vales
ITF Tournaments
11.03.26	Tomasz Berkieta - Amit Vales	0:2 ✺
24.02.26	Amit Vales - Blu Baker	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.02.26	Alafia Ayeni - Amit Vales	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Bautista De La Pena - Amit Vales	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
07.02.26	Amit Vales - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLWL
- Lorenzo Angelini
ITF Tournaments
08.03.26	Tomasz Berkieta - Lorenzo Angelini	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Ryan Colby - Lorenzo Angelini	0:2 ✺
06.03.26	Federico Iannaccone - Lorenzo Angelini	0:2 ✺
05.03.26	Stijn Paardekooper - Lorenzo Angelini	0:2 ✺
04.03.26	Lorenzo Angelini - Tadeas Paroulek	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWWWW

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