Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nottingham 4 - Qualification, grass - Final

Date: 6 July 2026, Monday


	Amit Vales		Michael Zhu

	1	2
			Watch
	1.30	3.10
	1.32	3.15	Watch
	1.33	3.35
	1.28	3.34	Watch
	1.3	3.3	Watch
	1.32	3.09	Watch
	1.32	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.65)	3.21 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amit Vales
71%

Michael Zhu
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amit Vales has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Amit Vales's performance.

Michael Zhu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Michael Zhu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amit Vales than the current prediction. (-19.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Amit Vales that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Zhu than the current prediction. (+19.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Michael Zhu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Amit Vales - Michael Zhu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vales is ranked ATP: 725. Zhu is ranked ATP: 855.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Zhu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amit Vales
ATP Challenger
05.07.26	Amit Vales - William Rejchtman Vinciguerra	2:1 ✺
29.06.26	Svyatoslav Gulin - Amit Vales	2:0 ✺
28.06.26	John Sperle - Amit Vales	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.06.26	Jean Baptiste Badon - Amit Vales	2:1 ✺
31.05.26	Kaylan Bigun - Amit Vales	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWLL
- Michael Zhu
ATP Challenger
05.07.26	Liam Hignett - Michael Zhu	0:2 ✺
28.06.26	Michael Zhu - Izan Almazan Valiente	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.06.26	Joaquin Guilleme - Michael Zhu	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.06.26	Daniel Jade - Michael Zhu	2:1 ✺
14.06.26	Mark Vervoort - Michael Zhu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLW

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