Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Rende, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 October 2025, Wednesday


	Anastasia Abbagnato		Aurora Zantedeschi

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.84	1.87	Watch
	1.83	2
	2.12	1.67	Watch
	1.8	1.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.17)	1.85 ↑ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anastasia Abbagnato
49.4%

Aurora Zantedeschi
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anastasia Abbagnato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Anastasia Abbagnato's performance.

Aurora Zantedeschi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aurora Zantedeschi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anastasia Abbagnato than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Anastasia Abbagnato that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aurora Zantedeschi than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aurora Zantedeschi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Anastasia Abbagnato - Aurora Zantedeschi Predictions

Users Predictions: Anastasia Abbagnato will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Abbagnato is ranked WTA: 453. Zantedeschi is ranked WTA: 323.

Abbagnato is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Zantedeschi has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Zantedeschi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Zantedeschi could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anastasia Abbagnato
ATP Challenger
30.09.25	Anastasia Abbagnato - Nicole Fossa Huergo	2:0 ✺
29.09.25	Anastasia Abbagnato - Sofia Rocchetti	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Laura Hietaranta - Anastasia Abbagnato	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.09.25	Anastasia Abbagnato - Despina Papamichail	0:2 ✺
23.09.25	Mayuka Aikawa - Anastasia Abbagnato	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWLW
- Aurora Zantedeschi
ATP Challenger
29.09.25	Aurora Zantedeschi - Leyre Romero Gormaz	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.09.25	Sara Cakarevic - Aurora Zantedeschi	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.09.25	Nuria Brancaccio - Aurora Zantedeschi	2:0 ✺
16.09.25	Samira De Stefano - Aurora Zantedeschi	1:2 ✺
15.09.25	Aurora Zantedeschi - Tatiana Pieri	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLLWL

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