Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Rende - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 29 September 2025, Monday


	Anastasia Abbagnato		Sofia Rocchetti

	1	2
	1.53	2.38
	1.51	2.39	Watch
	1.23	3.89	Watch
	1.49	2.51	Watch
	1.5	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.84)	2.73 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anastasia Abbagnato
65.3%

Sofia Rocchetti
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anastasia Abbagnato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Anastasia Abbagnato's performance.

Sofia Rocchetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sofia Rocchetti might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anastasia Abbagnato than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Anastasia Abbagnato that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sofia Rocchetti than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sofia Rocchetti could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Anastasia Abbagnato - Sofia Rocchetti Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Abbagnato will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Abbagnato is ranked WTA: 453. Rocchetti is ranked WTA: 685.

Abbagnato has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rocchetti's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Rocchetti may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Abbagnato won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Anastasia Abbagnato - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.14%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Sofia Rocchetti - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.86%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anastasia Abbagnato
ATP Challenger
28.09.25	Laura Hietaranta - Anastasia Abbagnato	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.09.25	Anastasia Abbagnato - Despina Papamichail	0:2 ✺
23.09.25	Mayuka Aikawa - Anastasia Abbagnato	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Anastasia Abbagnato - Sara Dols	1:2 ✺
11.09.25	Anastasia Abbagnato - Nanari Katsumi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWLW
- Sofia Rocchetti
ATP Challenger
28.09.25	Sofia Rocchetti - Dalila Spiteri	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.09.25	Georgia Pedone - Sofia Rocchetti	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.09.25	Sofia Rocchetti - Barbora Palicova	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.09.25	Sofia Rocchetti - Lucija Ciric Bagaric	0:2 ✺
25.08.25	Sofia Rocchetti - Susan Bandecchi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
01.09.23	Sofia Rocchetti - Anastasia Abbagnato	2:1

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