Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova		Dayana Yastremska

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.4	1.55
	2.28	1.6	Watch
	2.57	1.56
	2.63	1.50	Watch
	2.3	1.62
	2.38	1.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.23)	1.59 ↓ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
39.7%

Dayana Yastremska
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Dayana Yastremska has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dayana Yastremska than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dayana Yastremska, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Dayana Yastremska Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Pavlyuchenkova will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Yastremska will win (votes: 12 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Yastremska: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dayana Yastremska will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pavlyuchenkova is ranked WTA: 33. Yastremska is ranked WTA: 31.

Recent form of Pavlyuchenkova has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Yastremska is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Pavlyuchenkova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Yastremska will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pavlyuchenkova won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 43.11%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
WTA Monterrey
19.08.25	Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Antonia Ruzic	0:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
09.08.25	Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Aoi Ito	1:2 ✺
WTA Montreal
30.07.25	Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Eva Lys	0:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
08.07.25	Amanda Anisimova - Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova	2:0 ✺
06.07.25	Sonay Kartal - Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLLW
- Dayana Yastremska
WTA Cincinnati
12.08.25	Dayana Yastremska - Cori Gauff	Gauff C. walkover ✺
10.08.25	Dayana Yastremska - Viktoriya Tomova	2:1 ✺
WTA Montreal
02.08.25	Elena Rybakina - Dayana Yastremska	2:1 ✺
31.07.25	Dayana Yastremska - Emma Navarro	2:0 ✺
29.07.25	Dayana Yastremska - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 ?WLWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Osaka
16.09.19	Dayana Yastremska - Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova	0:2

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Dayana Yastremska: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide